The odds of Prime Minister Keir Starmer resigning by June 30 have shortened significantly, according to Polymarket data. The probability of Starmer's resignation by that date has risen from ~23% to ~33%, a 10 percentage point increase.
The shift in market sentiment comes as speculation grows over Starmer's political future. The Prime Minister has faced mounting pressure from within his own party, with several Labour MPs publicly calling for him to step down in recent weeks.