PM Starmer's odds of staying in office by June 30 slip by 6 points to ~27%
·market re-priced·June 30
Briefing
According to Polymarket, the odds of Prime Minister Keir Starmer remaining in office by June 30 have fallen by 6 percentage points to around 27% - down from 33% previously.
The shift in market sentiment suggests growing doubts over Starmer's ability to hold onto power in the coming months. Punters are increasingly betting the PM will be forced out before the end of the second quarter.