PM Starmer's resignation odds shift later to 24 Aug, Polymarket bets show

· implied p50 shift

Briefing

The date by which Keir Starmer is expected to resign as Prime Minister has shifted 3 days later to 24 August 2026, according to the latest betting on Polymarket.

The change in the implied resignation date, from 21 August to 24 August, suggests a ~86% chance Starmer will still be PM on that later date, the Polymarket data indicates.