A £1,900 bet on Polymarket has backed the view that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will leave Downing Street by October 31. The trade implies an ~82% chance that Starmer's resignation will be announced by that date, according to the market's odds.
The large trade was placed by the user 'Sociable-Rooster' and represents a significant show of confidence in Starmer's early exit from the top job. Polymarket is a popular prediction market platform where users can bet on political and other events.