PM Starmer faces £900 bet he'll leave by July 31

· large trade ·July 31

Briefing

A new £916 bet has been placed on Polymarket that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will leave Downing Street by July 31. The market currently implies around a ~56% chance that Starmer's resignation will be announced by that date.

The large trade was made by a user named 'Sociable-Rooster'. Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market where users can bet on the outcomes of future events, including political developments.